The threat of the novel coronavirus is heterogeneous. People are talking about the United States as if it were an individual who could be infected. Our country is a big place. Individuals are spread heterogeneously within the country with varying density and local factors. The healthcare system is equally heterogeneous. Imagine a small farming community and its one hospital versus a densely populated area like NYC with its many hospitals. We need to a more nuanced thought process.
We Are Looking at the Wrong Numbers
Everyone is looking at today’s numbers to see how bad things are in the US. But, given a ~1 week incubation period, and that the disease becomes severe or critical on day ~7 of symptoms, our numbers of critically ill patients today reflect infections contracted two weeks ago.
Original Covid-19 Post
This is my original post from March 4th, 2020 when the novel coronavirus was first becoming a concern in the United States.
Information about the Current Coronavirus Outbreak and How I am Responding to It
Covid-19 Q & A Update 3/27/20 Q: Is it helpful to wear a surgical mask?A: Almost certainly yes. It’s hard to find surgical masks right now, but if you have them, judicious use of the mask with good quality hand …
- Page 2 of 2